Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction – April 11, 2026

Borussia Dortmund will seek revenge against Bayer Leverkusen at home – Recommended bet: Dortmund victory

On matchday 29 of the Bundesliga, Borussia Dortmund hosts Bayer Leverkusen in a crucial duel for the aspirations of both teams in the league. Borussia Dortmund, after their elimination in the Cup and the defeat against Bayer Leverkusen in their last match, has the opportunity to exact revenge in their stadium. On the other hand, Bayer is risking its permanence in the group of the top 4, which makes this match key for its immediate future in the Bundesliga. Let's analyze both teams, their current streaks, statistics and the best bets for this matchup.

Borussia Dortmund form

Borussia Dortmund is going through a season full of ups and downs. On the last day, Niko Kovac's team achieved an important victory against Stuttgart (2-0), a team they had not beaten since 2022. However, their performance in the Champions League and in their confrontation against Bayern has made it clear that, although competitive, they have no real chance of fighting for the league title this year. Currently, they are nine points behind Bayern and 11 points behind Leipzig, occupying a position that no longer allows them to dream of the championship, but does allow them to continue in the fight for European positions.

Borussia Dortmund injuries and disqualifications

Dortmund will have significant losses for this match. Emre Can and Felix Nmecha will be unavailable due to injuries, and Karim Adeyemi will miss the match due to yellow card accumulation. Despite these absences, Dortmund have a competitive squad and their motivation could be at its best as they seek revenge after the recent Cup defeat.

Betting trends on Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund has shown an interesting trend in its last games. In six of the previous seven meetings, they committed more fouls than their opponents, which may be an indication of a physical playing style. Additionally, goals have been exchanged in four of their last six Bundesliga games, suggesting the team could be involved in a high-scoring encounter.

Borussia Dortmund estimated lineup

Goalkeeper: Kobel
Defenders: Anton, Schlotterbeck, Bensebaini
Midfielders: Ruerson, Sabitzer, Job, Svensson
Forwards: Bayer, Brandt, Guirassi

Bayer Leverkusen form

Bayer Leverkusen comes into this match on a six-game unbeaten streak in the Bundesliga, although only two of those matches ended in victory. Kasper Julmann's team has struggled to find consistency, but in their last match against Wolfsburg (6-3), they showed great offensive ability, despite having trailed 2-3 at half-time. Currently, Bayer is in sixth position in the table, just four points away from the Champions League places, which makes each match crucial for their aspirations of qualifying for the European competition.

Bayer Leverkusen injuries and disqualifications

Bayer Leverkusen also has some significant absences. Arthur, Vázquez and Terje are injured, and Quansa is a doubt for this match. These losses could affect the team's performance, especially in its defensive zone, although its offensive capacity remains one of its strengths.

Bayer Leverkusen Betting Trends

Bayer Leverkusen have shown a tendency not to win in the first half in three of their last five games. Furthermore, in five of the previous six Bundesliga matches, goals were exchanged, which could suggest a high-scoring game.

Bayer Leverkusen estimated lineup

Goalkeeper: Flecken
Defenders: Andrich, Bade, Tapsoba
Midfielders: Culbreth, Palacios, García, Grimaldo
Forwards: Maza, Tillman, Schick

Statistics of both teams

Borussia Dortmund's last 5 games

Date	Rival	Result
04/04/26	Stuttgart	2-0
03/21/26	Hamburg	3-2
03/14/26	Augsburg	2-0
03/07/26	Cologne	1-2
02/28/26	Bayern	23

Bayer Leverkusen's last 5 games

Date	Rival	Result
04/04/26	Wolfsburg	6-3
03/21/26	Heidenheim	3-3
03/17/26	Arsenal	0-2
03/14/26	Bayern	1-1
03/07/26	Freiburg	3-3

Frequently asked questions (FAQ):

1. How is this forecast made?

This forecast is based on a comprehensive analysis of the most recent statistics of both teams on sports platforms such as Flashscore, Sofascore and Whoscored. Players' recent form, goal trends, head-to-head performance and key absences are considered.

2. Why do I make this prediction?

Dortmund plays at home, has high motivation after the recent defeat against Bayer and a good winning streak in the league. Although Bayer is also on a good streak, absences and the team's defensive statistics can work against it.

3. What will happen if the prediction does not come true?

If the prediction does not come true, unforeseen factors, such as last-minute injuries or refereeing decisions, could have affected the teams' performance. In these cases, it is always advisable to consider safer bets or even long-term bets.

4. What type of bet is the safest?

The safest bet would be a victory for Borussia Dortmund, especially considering their motivation and the fact of playing at home. However, it can also be considered a bet on both teams scoring goals.

5. What does a risk bet mean?

A risky bet could be to predict a high number of goals, such as over 4.5 goals, or a Bayer Leverkusen win, which is less likely, but offers a higher odds.