Genk Vs Charleroi Prediction – April 21, 2026

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On matchday 34 of the Belgian league, Genk hosts Charleroi at their stadium on April 21. This matchup promises to be interesting, with Genk fighting for a place in the Conference League playoffs and Charleroi looking to improve their position in the table.

Genk comes into this match in good form, having won their last game against Westerlo 2-1. They have not lost in their last three games, which shows their solidity. Previously, they drew goalless against OH Leuven.

Genk currently occupies seventh position in the table with 28 points, two above Standard Liege. Their goal of reaching the Conference League playoffs is within reach.

On the other hand, Charleroi is in eleventh position, eight points behind its rival. In the relegation group, they have achieved one victory, two defeats and the fight for seventh place appears very complicated.

In their last match, Charleroi lost to Standard by 1-2, but before that they had beaten Antwerp by the same result. His performance has been inconsistent.

Shape Analysis and Statistics

Let's analyze the recent form of both teams to better understand their chances.

Genk's last 5 games:

  • Westerlo 1 – 2 Genk (Victory)
  • Genk 0 – 0 OH Leuven (Draw)
  • Antwerp 1 – 2 Genk (Victory)
  • La Louvière 5 – 5 Genk (Draw)
  • Freiburg 5 – 1 Genk (Defeat)

Genk shows a positive trend, with two wins and two draws in its last five games, only one defeat. Their scoring ability remains, although the defense has shown some weaknesses.

Charleroi's last 5 games:

  • Charleroi 1 – 2 Standard (Loss)
  • Charleroi 2 – 1 Antwerp (Victoria)
  • Westerlo 2 – 0 Charleroi (Defeat)
  • Zulte Waregem 1 – 0 Charleroi (Defeat)
  • Charleroi 0 – 2 OH Leuven (Defeat)

Charleroi is going through a difficult time, with only one victory and three defeats in its last five games. Their defense seems to be a weak point, conceding goals easily.

Statistics Comparison

Let's examine the overall statistics to get a more complete picture.

Statistics Genk Charleroi
League position 7th 11th
Points 28 20
Average Goals Scored (Last 5 games) 1.8 1.4
Average Goals Against (Last 5 games) 1.4 1.8
Winning Percentage (Last 5 games) 40% 20%
Draw Percentage (Last 5 matches) 40% 0%
Loss Percentage (Last 5 games) 20% 80%

The numbers reflect the difference in current form between both teams. Genk is more consistent and has a better scoring average.

Goal Analysis and Trends

Let's delve into the scoring tendencies of both teams.

Goal Trends (Last 5 Games):

Statistics Genk Charleroi
More than 0.5 goals 80% 100%
More than 1.5 goals 80% 80%
More than 2.5 goals 80% 40%
More than 3.5 goals 40% 0%
More than 4.5 goals 40% 0%
More than 5.5 goals 40% 0%

Both teams tend to score, but Genk has shown a greater propensity for games with more than 2.5 goals in their last games.

Goal Trends (Last 10 Games):

Statistics Genk Charleroi
More than 0.5 goals 90% 100%
More than 1.5 goals 70% 90%
More than 2.5 goals 70% 70%
More than 3.5 goals 30% 30%
More than 4.5 goals 30% 20%
More than 5.5 goals 30% 0%

In the longer term, the goal trend continues, with both teams scoring frequently, although Genk continues to show a greater capacity for games with more goals.

Goal Trends (Last 20 Games):

Statistics Genk Charleroi
More than 0.5 goals 95% 95%
More than 1.5 goals 80% 85%
More than 2.5 goals 65% 50%
More than 3.5 goals 25% 25%
More than 4.5 goals 20% 15%
More than 5.5 goals 15% 5%

Even over a longer period, the tendency of both teams to score remains. Genk has had more games with more than 2.5 goals compared to Charleroi.

Home and Away Goal Analysis

Let's examine the performance of each team in their respective fiefdoms.

Performance at Home (Genk):

Statistics Genk (Home)
Average Goals Scored 1.9
Average Goals Against 1.2
Victory Percentage 20%
Tie Percentage 20%
Loss Percentage 60%

Genk, playing at home, has a good goals average, but its defense has been vulnerable at times, which is reflected in a high percentage of games with more than 2.5 goals.

Away Performance (Charleroi):

Statistics Charleroi (Out)
Average Goals Scored 1.2
Average Goals Against 1.9
Victory Percentage 10%
Tie Percentage 10%
Loss Percentage 80%

Charleroi suffers considerably away from home, with a low goals average and a defense that concedes many goals.

History of Head to Head (H2H)

Let's analyze the latest clashes between Genk and Charleroi.

Date Competition Result
19.12.25 League Charleroi 2 – 2 Genk
17.09.25 League Genk 0 – 1 Charleroi
28.02.25 League Charleroi 1 – 1 Genk
11.23.24 League Genk 3 – 0 Charleroi
06.07.24 Friendly Genk 3 – 3 Charleroi
23.02.24 League Charleroi 0 – 1 Genk

The direct history is quite balanced, with victories for both teams and several draws. However, in recent clashes, Genk has shown a slight superiority at home.

Equipment Rating System

Let's evaluate the performance of each team using a rating system.

  • Genk:
    • Shape: 8/10
    • Attack: 8/10
    • Defense: 6/10
    • Motivation: 9/10 (Fight for Conference League)
  • Charleroi:
    • Shape: 4/10
    • Attack: 5/10
    • Defense: 4/10
    • Motivation: 6/10 (Looks to improve position)

Genk stands out in form, attack and motivation, while Charleroi shows weaknesses in all areas.

Betting Analysis

Based on the analysis, we present the following betting options.

Main Bet:

Genk wins and both teams score. Genk are favorites at home and have the motivation to secure their place in the playoffs. Charleroi, despite their poor streak, have the ability to score, especially if Genk relaxes.

Safe Bet:

Genk wins. Given the difference in form and motivation, a home victory is the most probable and safe option.

Risk Bet (High Odds):

Exact score: Genk 3-1 Charleroi. Genk has the potential to score several goals, and Charleroi usually concedes, but they also have the ability to score a consolation goal.

Quota Analysis

The current odds reflect Genk's favoritism:

  • Genk: 1.90
  • Draw: 3.65
  • Charleroi: 3.80
  • Total more than 2.5 goals: 1.70
  • Total less than 2.5 goals: 2.10

The odds for total goals suggest that a match with at least 2.5 goals is expected, which is in line with our trends.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

1. How is this forecast made?

This prediction is based on a comprehensive analysis of statistical data from recent matches, including results, goals for and against, possession, shots, corners and fouls. Sources such as Flashscore, Sofascore and Whoscored are used to collect this information. In addition, the current form of the teams, their motivation and the history of head-to-head confrontations are considered.

2. Why is Genk's victory predicted and both scoring?

Genk plays at home, has a better streak of results and greater motivation to secure its place in the Conference League playoffs. Despite their poor form, Charleroi have shown the ability to score goals, even in defeats, making it likely that both teams will score.

3. What will happen if the prediction does not come true?

In the world of sports, surprises are possible. If the prediction does not come true, it may be due to unexpected factors such as expulsions, early injuries, refereeing errors or exceptional performance by the underdog team. In case of a failed prediction, it is recommended to adjust the betting strategy and learn from mistakes for future predictions.

4. What is the safest bet?

The safest bet is Genk's victory. Given their position in the table, their home performance and motivation, it is the most likely outcome.

5. What does “risky bet” mean?

A risk bet is one with a high odds, which implies a lower probability of success but a greater profit if it is fulfilled. In this case, the exact score of 3-1 in favor of Genk is a risky bet.

6. How does motivation influence prognosis?

Motivation is a crucial factor. Genk are fighting for an important goal (Conference League), which increases their determination and performance. Charleroi, although with less at stake, will seek to improve its position and avoid a bad streak.

7. What data is analyzed from the last matches?

Results are analyzed, goals scored and received, possession of the ball, number of shots on goal and totals, corner kicks, fouls committed and cards received. The goal trend (more/less than X goals) and effectiveness at different moments of the match are also observed.

8. Why are different bet levels included?

Different bet levels (main, safe, risk) are included to offer options to different types of bettors. The safe bet is for those seeking to minimize risk, while the risk bet is for those seeking greater profits by assuming greater danger.

9. What unexpected variables can affect the result?

Unexpected variables include injuries to key players during the match, controversial refereeing decisions, adverse weather conditions, or a drastic change in the dynamics of the game due to an expulsion.

10. How is a team's defense evaluated?

Defense is evaluated by analyzing the number of goals conceded, the frequency of clean sheets, the effectiveness in defensive duels (if data is available) and the general solidity of the defensive block in recent matches.


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