Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction – April 22, 2026

Expected result: Montreal does not lose; Recommended bet: Montreal does not lose (1.90)

On April 22, 2026, the Tampa Bay Lightning will face the Montreal Canadiens in an exciting first-round game of the NHL playoffs. This match promises to be exciting, as both teams have shown quality and determination on the ice. Below, we will analyze the recent performance of both teams, key statistics and the best bets for this match.

Team analysis

The Tampa Bay Lightning have had a difficult end to the season, winning only two of their last six games. In their debut in the playoffs, the Lightning failed to prevail against the Canadiens, falling 3-4 in a game that was decided in overtime. The defense showed weaknesses, allowing three goals when numerically disadvantaged, which is worrying for a team with title aspirations. Goalkeeper Andrei Vasilevskiy, who has been one of the team's stars, performed below his usual level, stopping only 78% of shots.

On the other hand, the Montreal Canadiens have had an outstanding regular season, convincingly securing a playoff spot, although they finished in fourth place in the Eastern Conference due to some defensive irregularities. However, their victory in the first playoff game against Tampa shows that they work well together, especially in situations of numerical advantage, where they have known how to capitalize efficiently. The player Juraj Slafkovsky shone in his last game, scoring a hat-trick that was decisive for his team's victory.

Recent statistics

Equipment	Last 5 games	Victories (in regulation time)	Losses (in regulation time)	Goals in favor	Goals against
Tampa Bay	3:4 vs Montreal (Playoffs), 2:4 vs Rangers, 4:3 vs Detroit, 1:2 vs Boston, 2:1 vs Montreal	2	3	12	16
Montreal	4:3 vs Tampa (Playoffs), 4:2 vs Philadelphia, 1:4 vs Islanders, 2:5 vs Columbus, 2:1 vs Tampa	3	2	13	15

Comparison of shapes

Criterion	Tampa Bay	Montreal
Form (last 5 matches)	4/10	6/10
Stroke	7/10	8/10
Defense	5/10	6/10
Motivation	6/10	9/10

Recommended Betting Levels

main bet

Montreal does not lose (1.90). This bet appears to be the safest, considering the recent performance of both teams and Montreal's ability to compete on equal terms.

Safe bet

Total goals more than 5.5 (1.80). Both teams have shown tendencies to score in their last confrontations, making it likely that we will see a game with several goals.

risk bet

Montreal wins in regulation time (3.43). Although Tampa is the favorite, the odds on Montreal are attractive and their recent form indicates they could surprise again.

Last direct confrontations

Date	Result
04/19/26	Tampa 3:4 Montreal
09.04.26	Montreal 2:1 Tampa
28.12.25	Tampa 5:4 Montreal (P)
10.12.25	Montreal 1:6 Tampa
09.02.25	Montreal 3:5 Tampa

Frequently asked questions (FAQ):

1. How is the forecast made?

The forecast is prepared using statistical data from recognized platforms such as Flashscore, Sofascore and Whoscored, analyzing the teams' performance in their last matches.

2. Why do I make this prediction?

This prediction is based on technical analysis of recent matches, relevant statistics and my practical experience in the field of sports betting.

3. What will happen if the prediction does not come true?

If the prediction does not come true, it is possible that unexpected variables such as injuries or referee decisions affect the result. It is always recommended to bet responsibly and not exceed the allocated budget.