Dalian Vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Prediction

Dalian vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Prediction – Chinese Super League 2026

Local victory with goals and main bet in favor of Dalian.

On May 1, 2026, Dalian will face Chongqing Tongliang Long in an exciting Chinese Super League match. The locals will look to take advantage of their home advantage to secure the three points.

Dalian, under the direction of Li Goxian, has shown remarkable stability in its recent matches. The team has won five in its last six games, averaging more than one goal per game. Despite a 1-3 loss to Yunnan Yukun, the team's defense has remained solid, conceding fewer goals than they score.

The convincing victories over Liaoning Tie Ren and Henan are a clear indication of Dalian's defensive reliability. However, the team has had no luck in their head-to-head matches against Chongqing Tongliang Long. The rival won twice last year, and in October 2024, they inflicted a tough defeat on Dalian 0-3.

In the last six games, Dalian's opponents have scored an average of 0.8 goals. In the 2025 season, Dalian finished in eleventh position in the standings, among 16 teams.

On the other hand, Chongqing Tongliang Long, led by Liu Jianye, also exhibits impressive consistency. In its last six games, the team has achieved four victories and has not known defeat. Their defense remains firm, having conceded only six goals in total. The behind-closed-door victories against Shenzhen Peng City (2-0) and Zhejiang Pro (1-0) are proof of this.

Chongqing Tongliang Long also has an advantage in head-to-head matches against Dalian. On October 6, 2024, Liu Jianye's students clearly won 3-0. Chongqing Tongliang Long is undaunted, even in open matches. After a draw with many goals against Chengdu (3-3), the team has continued to obtain positive results.

Regarding the data of the last matches, three of Chongqing Tongliang Long's last six matches exceeded 2.5 goals. The team is on a convincing streak, having won 4 of its last 6 games.

Analyzing the general statistics, Dalian has shown 42.4% ball possession in its last five games, with an average of 13.8 shots per game and 5.4 on goal. They have had an average of 6.4 corners and 15 fouls, with 2.4 yellow cards.

Chongqing Tongliang Long, in its last five games, has had 47.4% possession, with 8.2 shots per game and 3.6 on goal. They have averaged 4.2 corners and 13.6 fouls, with 1.4 yellow cards.

Regarding scoring effectiveness, Dalian has exceeded 0.5 goals in 100% of its last 20 games, 1.5 goals in 80% and 2.5 goals in 80%. Chongqing Tongliang Long has exceeded 0.5 goals in 80% of its last 20 games, 1.5 goals in 60% and 2.5 goals in 40%.

In direct confrontations, Dalian has scored an average of 1.2 goals at home and conceded 0.8. Chongqing Tongliang Long has scored an average of 0.7 away goals and conceded 0.5.

The betting trend for Dalian at home shows a 60% probability that there will be more than 2.5 goals in the match, a 40% probability that they will score more than 1.5 goals and a 40% probability that both teams will score.

For Chongqing Tongliang Long away from home, the probability of over 2.5 goals is 20%, over 1.5 goals is 30% and both teams scoring is 30%.

Considering the current form, defensive solidity and home advantage, Dalian emerges as favorites. However, Chongqing Tongliang Long's ability to score and their favorable record in head-to-head matches cannot be ignored.

Equipment Analysis:

Dalian:

• Shape: 8/10
• Attack: 7/10
• Defense: 8/10
• Motivation: 8/10

Chongqing Tongliang Long:

• Shape: 7/10
• Attack: 6/10
• Defense: 7/10
• Motivation: 7/10

Dalian's last 5 games:

• Dalian 1 – 3 Yunnan Yukun
• Liaoning Tie Ren 0 – 1 Dalian
• Dalian 2 – 1 Henan
• Dalian 3 – 0 Zhejiang Pro
• Shandong Tai… 1 – 2 Dalian

Chongqing Tongliang Long's last 5 games:

• Chongqing Tongliang Long 1 – 1 Qingdao West Coast
• Shanghai East Asia 1 – 2 Chongqing Tongliang Long
• Chongqing Tongliang Long 2 – 0 Shenzhen Peng City
• Chongqing Tongliang Long 2 – 1 Wuhan Three Towns
• Hangzhou Greentown 0 – 1 Chongqing Tongliang Long

Goal Trends (Last 20 Games):

Goal Statistics in Leagues (Last 20 games):

Recommended Bets:

• Major: Dalian victory. The home team has shown great form and defensive solidity, in addition to playing at home.
• Safe: More than 1.5 goals in the match. Both teams have scoring capacity and a match with opportunities is expected.
• Risk (High Rate): Dalian's victory with a -1 handicap. If Dalian manages to impose its rhythm, it could achieve a victory by more than a goal difference.

Dalian comes to this match with a positive streak, showing a good balance between attack and defense. The home field will be an important factor in their favor. Chongqing Tongliang Long, although also in good form, has shown weaknesses away from home and an unfavorable record in recent head-to-head matches.

Dalian's ability to control the game and capitalize on opportunities at home, coupled with the pressure they can put on the visiting defense, suggests that they have a high probability of winning.

Chongqing Tongliang Long, for its part, has proven to be a team capable of scoring, even away from home, so it is not ruled out that they could score a goal. However, their defense could be overwhelmed by Dalian's attack.

The main bet is leaning towards home victory, backed by analysis of form, statistics and the advantage of playing at home. The safe bet seeks to capitalize on the tendency of both teams to score at least one goal, while the risky bet points to a more resounding victory for Dalian.

Frequently asked questions (FAQ):

How is this sports forecast made?

This forecast is prepared through a comprehensive analysis of statistical data from recent matches, team form, goal statistics, head-to-head matches and other relevant factors. Reliable sports information sources are used to collect accurate data.

Why is a Dalian victory predicted?

The prediction is based on Dalian's excellent recent form, defensive solidity, home advantage and a trend analysis that positions them as favorites against a Chongqing Tongliang Long team that, although a competitive team, shows certain weaknesses away from home and an unfavorable recent history in direct confrontations.

What will happen if the prediction does not come true?

In the world of sports betting, there is no such thing as absolute certainty. If the prediction does not come true, it is important to remember that there are unexpected variables, such as last-minute injuries, referee decisions or exceptional performance by the opposing team. In case of a failed prediction, it is recommended to manage the bankroll responsibly and not try to recover losses impulsively.

What methodology is used for data analysis?

The methodology is based on the collection and analysis of performance data from both teams in their last matches, including results, goals scored and received, ball possession, shots, corners and cards. These statistics are compared to identify patterns and trends that may influence the outcome of the match.

What factors are considered when evaluating a team's form?

A team's form is assessed by considering their results in the last 5 to 10 matches, the quality of their opponents, whether they are playing at home or away, and the consistency of their performance. The aim is to identify whether the team is on a positive or negative streak.

How do you analyze a team's defense?

Defense analysis includes the number of goals conceded in recent games, defensive solidity at home and away, and effectiveness in preventing the opponent from scoring. The statistics of defensive duels and ball recoveries are also observed.

What does the team rating system (Form, Attack, Defense, Motivation) mean?

The rating system is a numerical score (from 1 to 10) that summarizes the current performance of a team in different key aspects: Form (recent performance), Attack (scoring ability), Defense (defensive solidity) and Motivation (importance of the match, team morale).

Are links to statistics sites included in the analysis?

No, direct links to statistics sites are not included. The analysis is based on information collected and processed internally, without directing the user to external sources.

What is recommended if the main bet is not a winner?

If the main bet is not a winner, it is recommended to stay calm and not make impulsive bets. It is advisable to review the analysis of the match, learn from mistakes and wait for the next opportunity with a well-defined strategy.

How is the risk bet (high odds) determined?

The risk bet is identified by analyzing less probable scenarios but with a high reward potential. This may include specific outcomes, unexpected goalscorers, or high-odds betting combinations based on a risk-reward analysis.